A New Average Tariff and Small Pushes Theory


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In today’s deeply interconnected world, economic decisions made by one powerful nation inevitably ripple across the globe. Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies, while intended to protect American interests, risked disturbing the delicate fabric of international trade and cooperation. In this post, I offer an advisory not as a critic, but as a peace-driven voice—urging global leaders to adopt a balanced and humane economic approach.

The World as One Body – A Core Perspective

The whole world is like one body, and each nation is a vital part of that body. If one part suffers, the whole body is affected. We cannot push others down to rise ourselves. No nation can act solely for its own benefit; it must consider its impact on others. Only then can we ensure world peace, prosperity, and sustainable development.

This philosophy becomes even more important for powerful nations, especially the United States of America. As a global leader, the U.S. has a moral responsibility to create policies that support not just itself but the global system at large.

Donald Trump’s Tariff Policy – A Brief Overview

Trump’s administration imposed high tariffs on several nations to reduce trade imbalances. Though it highlighted trade disparities, it also led to rising tensions, retaliations, and disrupted economies—especially in developing countries. These effects challenged global peace and trust among nations.

Introducing a Balanced Path – Average Tariff and Small Pushes Theory

In response to the turmoil caused by abrupt tariffs, I propose a new model for tariff policy — one that is fair, gradual, and peaceful. I call it the:

Average Tariff and Small Pushes Theory

This theory follows a simple yet powerful framework:

1. Average Tariff Calculation
Average Tariff = (U.S. imposed tariff + Target nation’s imposed tariff) ÷ 2

Example:
If a nation places 28% tariff on U.S. goods and the U.S. places 10% on that nation, the average tariff would be:
(28 + 10) ÷ 2 = 19%

2. Tariff Adjustment with Small Pushes
Difference between the average tariff and current U.S. tariff:
19% – 10% = 9%

Now divide this 9% gap into 3 equal parts:

  • First 6 months: 10% + 3% = 13%
  • Second 6 months: 13% + 3% = 16%
  • Third 6 months: 16% + 3% = 19%

3. Review and Reassessment
After 18 months, conduct a policy review. Based on mutual results, the policy can be modified, continued, or replaced.

Benefits:

  • Promotes gradual economic adjustment
  • Encourages mutual respect and dialogue
  • Minimizes economic shocks
  • Upholds global peace and cooperation

An Advisory to Mr. Trump and World Leaders

Mr. Trump, while your intentions of protecting American workers are understandable, the path to long-term prosperity lies in cooperation, not confrontation. I urge you and future U.S. leaders to consider this balanced, peace-oriented tariff theory.

To all global leaders: Protect your interests, yes — but do so in a way that does not harm others. Think long-term. Think global.

Conclusion

Let us not use economic power as a weapon, but as a tool to build bridges. With thoughtful policies like the Average Tariff and Small Pushes Theory, we can guide the world toward a future of harmony, prosperity, and sustainable peace.


Written by Dr. Muhammad Amir
Founder of World Peace Visions | Author | Global Thinker for Peace and Progress
www.worldpeacevisions.com

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